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Prediction market volume could soar to $10 trillion per year by 2035, compounding at a staggering annual rate of 70%, according to new research by Bernstein analysts.
Analyst Gautam Chhugani and team are forecasting $410 billion in yes/no exchange turnover this year, implying that if the $10 trillion estimate proves accurate, it’d represent a more than twentyfold increase from the 2026 tally.
The $10 trillion forecast also implies significant growth in just five years from what previously stood as some of the most optimistic 2030 projections. In April, Bernstein estimated prediction market volume will ascend to $1 trillion by 2030 while Bank of America said prediction markets will eventually grow to $1.1 trillion in yearly turnover. A July report from Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon included a $1.5 trillion annual volume forecast by 2030.
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Macquarie’s Beynon agrees with that sentiment, pointing to the relative stability of gaming companies through tough economic stretches such as the Covid-19 pandemic. Bankruptcies in the sector have been low relative to the broader market, he notes, and both land-based and digital companies have reason for optimism moving forward.
“It’s certainly not lost on us that this sector has underperformed for several years in a row just because it doesn’t have either the growth of say, tech companies, or the perceived free cash flow-insulated businesses, which we believe it does…We’ve thought there’s been value in the sector for a few years, particularly this year,” he told iGB.
Jess has covered the global gaming industry since 2022. A native of Reno, Nevada, he’d like to note that it’s Ne-va-da, not Ne-VAH-da.
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The Dream Drop feature has been designed to enhance the player experience and provide players with unmatched experiences. With a total of 32 MEGA Jackpot winners since launching the product four years ago, Dream Drop has been a constant focal point for player interest.
“Seeing such a positive player response so early is a rewarding reflection of the hard work and dedication that has gone into bringing Dream Drop to market. We’re excited to build on this momentum and encourage Danish operators looking to elevate their jackpot offering to discover what Dream Drop can do for their casinos and their players,” Smith added.
FDJ United Director of Casino and Gaming David Robertson was similarly pleased with the opportunity to see his company strengthen its content offering with brand-new types of content.
